Sunday HQ
Week 1 · Sun 12:00 PM ET
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Full research desk. Back to Top 10 Home lists stay labeled not live. Desk pick cards stay hidden until tape is fresh.
Research desk
Research only. Pick cards and seed parlays stay hidden until DraftKings tape is live.
Week
1
Season
2026
Slate
Sun 9/13
Updated
Sun 12:00 PM ET
Sunday games
13
Indoor
6
High total
50.5
Low total
39.5
Best Over
Not live
Hidden until fresh DraftKings tape. Do not bet from this page.
Best Under
Not live
Hidden until fresh DraftKings tape. Do not bet from this page.
Best TD
Not live
Hidden until fresh DraftKings tape. Do not bet from this page.
Best Team Total
Not live
Hidden until fresh DraftKings tape. Do not bet from this page.
Best QB Matchup
Not live
Hidden until fresh DraftKings tape. Do not bet from this page.
Best RB Matchup
Not live
Hidden until fresh DraftKings tape. Do not bet from this page.
Best Game Environment
TB @ CIN 50.5
Scoreboard research only — not a ticket.
Biggest Warning
ATL QB room is OUT / OUT
Rush starts. Do not chase ATL pass. Kamara is SOURCE CONFLICT.
Only items that can change a bet.
Tua + Penix OUT — Cooper Rush starts at PIT
Atlanta is down its top two quarterbacks. Rush is the Week 1 starter. Bijan / London / Pitts remain usable as players; ATL passing props are a downgrade environment.
Bowers OUT after meniscus surgery — Mayer is the Raiders TE
Bowers misses Week 1 and likely more. Mayer 39.5 receiving consensus is the residual line. Do not treat Mayer as Bowers.
Kamara SOURCE CONFLICT — Etienne is the volume lean
Owner seed: OUT. CBS: QUESTIONABLE. ESPN: bench risk, affects Etienne passing downs. Etienne consensus 56.5. Wait for inactives before a bet-grade.
Nabers GAME-TIME DECISION (ACL return)
Full practice. Expectation is he plays; he said the decision is his. No consensus yard line in seed. Do not invent one.
CLE @ JAX — significant heat / storm flag
Owner seed marks this as the weather game. Live NWS hourly is not wired. Passing overs are weather-taxed until a verified forecast lands.
Movement, injuries, and weather since the last pull.
Tua named starter → Tua OUT, Penix OUT, Rush starts
ATL pass environment downgraded. Rush under is the structural lean if a real line appears.
Bowers featured → Bowers OUT — Mayer 39.5 consensus
TE residual, not a WR1. Vacuum can leak to Jeanty / WRs.
Kamara lead → SOURCE CONFLICT; Etienne 56.5 consensus
Do not settle health to OUT. Etienne volume is conditional.
38.5 consensus / owner floor → 39.5 DK via ESPN widget
Still the lowest Sunday total. Movement +1.0 vs owner seed opener.
ACL — Week 1 in doubt → Full practice, his call
Upgrade to GAME-TIME DECISION, not NO KNOWN LIMITATION.
No material flag → Significant heat / storm ESTIMATE
Passing overs weather-taxed until NWS hourly is live.
Backup TE residual → Placeholder mean 45 vs 39.5 consensus
Projection moved on Bowers OUT. Still not a priced GOOD BET.
Environment and weather at a glance.
Slate, inactives, pregame, refresh, late window, SNF. RUN NOW stays on Admin.
Configurable milestones. RUN NOW stays on Admin. No invented clocks.
1 / 6
DONEInitial slate
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
13 Sunday games.
2 / 6
DONEInactives
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Kamara still SOURCE CONFLICT.
3 / 6
LIVEPregame model
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Placeholder CDF / binary P. Not a trained engine.
4 / 6
LIVEMajor refresh
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
NYJ@TEN +1.0. NWS hourly PENDING.
5 / 6
PENDINGLate-game refresh
No timestamp
PENDING — no separate 4 PM pull stored. Late window still uses the monitor step.
6 / 6
PENDINGSNF / learn
No timestamp
Week 1 not settled. EXAMPLE buckets only.
Ranked by edge. Assumed −110 EV is an estimate, never a DraftKings price.
No live opportunities.
Seed props stay hidden until DraftKings tape is fresh.
Highest-volume looks, not automatic bets. Stability is LOW / MEDIUM / HIGH / ELITE ESTIMATE. Carries / targets stay DATA UNAVAILABLE.
| Player | Market | Projected opps | Recent opps | Role stability | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN · TB @ CIN | Rec Yds Not live · CONSENSUS line 85.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | ELITE ESTIMATE | Confidence B |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET · NO @ DET | Rush Yds Not live · CONSENSUS line 84.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | ELITE ESTIMATE | Confidence B |
| Derrick Henry BAL · BAL @ IND | Rush Yds Not live · CONSENSUS line 78.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | ELITE ESTIMATE | Confidence B |
| Joe Burrow CIN · TB @ CIN | Pass Yds Not live · CONSENSUS line 269.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | HIGH ESTIMATE | Confidence B |
| Travis Etienne Jr. NO · NO @ DET | Rush Yds Not live · CONSENSUS line 56.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | HIGH ESTIMATE | Confidence B |
| Malik Nabers NYG · DAL @ NYG | Rec Yds Not live · UNAVAILABLE line DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | HIGH ESTIMATE | Confidence PASS |
Stability is an ESTIMATE from volume tag + TD role + availability. Carries / targets / snaps / air yards stay DATA UNAVAILABLE. Not a DraftKings price.
Anytime TD research leans.
No live TD leans.
Try All, or clear a filter. We will not invent a play to fill the gap.
Only moderate or significant impact.
Out, questionable, and high-risk only.
Atlanta's named starter was added to the injury report after Thursday practice and is ruled out. Michael Penix Jr. is also out, so Cooper Rush starts at Pittsburgh.
Beneficiary: Cooper Rush, Bijan Robinson
Unavailable Week 1 while recovering from a knee injury. Does not replace Tua.
Beneficiary: Cooper Rush
Meniscus surgery Wednesday. Misses Week 1 and likely more. Michael Mayer is the on-roster TE beneficiary; Juwan Johnson is a separate Saints stream, not a Raiders replacement.
Beneficiary: Michael Mayer
Owner Week 1 seed marked Kamara OUT with Etienne as the volume successor. CBS listed Kamara QUESTIONABLE (full Friday). ESPN said he is likely left on fantasy benches and that his presence affects Etienne passing-down work. Sunday HQ does not collapse this to a single state: board shows QUESTIONABLE with SOURCE CONFLICT and treats Etienne as the primary volume lean until a verified inactive.
Beneficiary: Travis Etienne Jr.
Full practice week after 2025 ACL. Expectation from reporters is that he plays, but Nabers said the decision is his. Not listed as NO KNOWN LIMITATION.
Limited Wed/Thu, listed RB2. ESPN: expected to play, possibly managed touches. Week 1 LOW SAMPLE on role.
Highest totals and cleanest scripts.
1:00 PM ET
TB @ CIN
CIN -3.5
50.5
Posted total
Sunday ceiling
1:00 PM ET
NO @ DET
DET -7
49.5
Posted total
Indoor / fixed roof
8:20 PM ET
DAL @ NYG
DAL -3
48.5
Posted total
Outdoor MetLife — SNF, no flagged limitation in seed
1:00 PM ET
BAL @ IND
BAL -3.5
47.5
Posted total
Indoor / fixed roof
1:00 PM ET
CHI @ CAR
CHI -3
47.5
Posted total
Outdoor Charlotte — no flagged limitation in seed
Both sides stay first-class.
No live overs / unders.
Seed props stay hidden until DraftKings tape is fresh.
Constructs, not tickets.
No live parlays.
Seed SGPs are quarantined. They are not tickets.
Watching, ready, and placed.
Watching
2
Ready
2
Placed
1
Only the alerts that can change a bet.
Tua + Penix OUT — Rush starts
ATL passing environment downgraded. Decision-impacting.
Bowers OUT — Mayer residual
Meniscus surgery. Mayer 39.5 consensus is not Bowers.
Kamara SOURCE CONFLICT
Seed OUT vs CBS QUESTIONABLE. Etienne volume is conditional.
CLE @ JAX heat / storms
Owner seed ESTIMATE. NWS hourly PENDING.
Edge lost · NYJ@TEN total
Owner floor 38.5 → DK 39.5. Under thesis weaker by a point. Still Sunday floor.
My Card REVIEW · Lawrence under
Ready ticket sits on an ESTIMATE line, not DK. Confirm the real number before placing units.
The same ranking as desktop, in cards.
No live opportunities.
Try All, or clear a filter. We will not invent a play to fill the gap.
Watching
2
Ready
2
Placed
1
No live TD leans.
Try All, or clear a filter. We will not invent a play to fill the gap.
Tua Tagovailoa OUT — Cooper Rush starts
Michael Penix Jr. OUT
Brock Bowers OUT — Mayer inherits TE usage
Alvin Kamara — SOURCE CONFLICT
Significant heat / storm risk — Jacksonville
Configurable milestones. RUN NOW stays on Admin. No invented clocks.
1 / 6
DONEInitial slate
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
13 Sunday games.
2 / 6
DONEInactives
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Kamara still SOURCE CONFLICT.
3 / 6
LIVEPregame model
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Placeholder CDF / binary P. Not a trained engine.
4 / 6
LIVEMajor refresh
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
NYJ@TEN +1.0. NWS hourly PENDING.
5 / 6
PENDINGLate-game refresh
No timestamp
PENDING — no separate 4 PM pull stored. Late window still uses the monitor step.
6 / 6
PENDINGSNF / learn
No timestamp
Week 1 not settled. EXAMPLE buckets only.
Role stability ESTIMATE. Not tickets.
| Player | Market | Projected opps | Recent opps | Role stability | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN · TB @ CIN | Rec Yds Not live · CONSENSUS line 85.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | ELITE ESTIMATE | Confidence B |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET · NO @ DET | Rush Yds Not live · CONSENSUS line 84.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | ELITE ESTIMATE | Confidence B |
| Derrick Henry BAL · BAL @ IND | Rush Yds Not live · CONSENSUS line 78.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | ELITE ESTIMATE | Confidence B |
| Joe Burrow CIN · TB @ CIN | Pass Yds Not live · CONSENSUS line 269.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | HIGH ESTIMATE | Confidence B |
| Travis Etienne Jr. NO · NO @ DET | Rush Yds Not live · CONSENSUS line 56.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | HIGH ESTIMATE | Confidence B |
| Malik Nabers NYG · DAL @ NYG | Rec Yds Not live · UNAVAILABLE line DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | HIGH ESTIMATE | Confidence PASS |
Stability is an ESTIMATE from volume tag + TD role + availability. Carries / targets / snaps / air yards stay DATA UNAVAILABLE. Not a DraftKings price.
No live overs.
Try All, or clear a filter. We will not invent a play to fill the gap.
No live unders.
Try All, or clear a filter. We will not invent a play to fill the gap.
No live parlays.
Try All, or clear a filter. We will not invent a play to fill the gap.