Game environment
90
EstimateSunday HQ
Week 1 · Sun 12:00 PM ET
Not live — do not bet from this page.
Live prices are not connected. Seed parlays and props are hidden. Add ODDS_API_KEY in Vercel, then run the odds refresh.
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Ford Field
New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions
Not live. Research layout stays up. Do not bet from this page.
Spread
DET -7
Total
49.5
NO implied
21.3
DET implied
28.3
0–100 ESTIMATE from posted total + weather + QB room. Not a trained engine.
Game environment
90
EstimatePassing environment
96
EstimateRushing environment
58
EstimateTD environment
100
EstimateP(DET win) 71% from DK home spread -7. Total 49.5. Not a trained win model.
ESTIMATE · spread logistic. Not a cover model.
DET P(win)
71.3%
NO P(win)
28.7%
P(blowout)
25.5%
DET favorite: fewer trash-time attempts unless the 49+ total keeps both QBs alive.
NO dog: negative script → more dropbacks, worse rushing efficiency.
DET favorite: positive script supports designed rush + closer carries. DET volume lean.
NO dog: designed rush tax. Pass-down RB is the more honest volume path.
Highest-total script
Posted total 49.5. Shootout ≠ automatic overs.
Indoor / roof
Weather is not the limiter.
Alvin Kamara — SOURCE CONFLICT
Owner Week 1 seed marked Kamara OUT with Etienne as the volume successor. CBS listed Kamara QUESTIONABLE (full Friday). ESPN said he is likely left on fantasy benches and that his presence affects Etienne passing-down work. Sunday HQ does not collapse this to a single state: board shows QUESTIONABLE with SOURCE CONFLICT and treats Etienne as the primary volume lean until a verified inactive.
Indoor — Ford Field
Dome. Weather is not a limiter. Script / injuries still apply.
ALL / QB / RB / WR / TE. Usage and tails that are missing stay DATA UNAVAILABLE.
| Player | Usage | Yards | Rec | TD % | Fantasy | Top prop | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff DET QB | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 17.6 | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET RB | HIGH | O 84.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 62% | 19.4 | Rush Yds O | B |
| Travis Etienne Jr. NO RB | HIGH | O 56.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 42% | 14.2 | Rush Yds O | B |
| Alvin Kamara NO RB | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
| Sam LaPorta DET TE | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 10.8 | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
| Juwan Johnson NO TE | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
Not live. Seed ranks shown as research stubs — not tickets.
Rush Yds over
O 56.5
Confidence BNot live
Rush Yds over
O 84.5
Confidence BNot live
NO PLAYS MEET FILTERS
Anytime TD over
O 0.5
Confidence B-Not live
Anytime TD over
O 0.5
Confidence B-Not live
2+ TD over
O 1.5
Confidence B-Not live
Derived from spread + total. Not a listed DK team-total ticket.
Conservative · STACKED · Not live
Aggressive · UNKNOWN · Not live
Opening vs current from the catalog. Missing player-prop tape stays unlabeled.
No stored moves for this game.
Try All, or clear a filter. We will not invent a play to fill the gap.