Highest passing TD
DATA UNAVAILABLE
No pass-TD / ATD model in the seed.
Sunday HQ
Week 1 · Sun 12:00 PM ET
Not live — do not bet from this page.
Live prices are not connected. Seed parlays and props are hidden. Add ODDS_API_KEY in Vercel, then run the odds refresh.
Research board
Top cards from seeded projections and script-proxy matchups. Coverage grades are not CB ranks. Missing attempts / snaps stay PENDING.
Not live. Research stubs only.
Highest passing projection
Joe Burrow
Pass Yds O 269.5 · model 276
Not live
Highest passing TD
DATA UNAVAILABLE
No pass-TD / ATD model in the seed.
Best matchup (script proxy)
DATA UNAVAILABLE
No QB matchup grade stored.
Best rushing QB
DATA UNAVAILABLE
No QB rush-yard model in the seed.
Largest market edge
Trevor Lawrence
Pass Yds U 219.5 · model 205
Not live
CIN · QB
Joe Burrow
No photo in seed — initials only.
Projection
21.8EstimateDET · QB
Jared Goff
No photo in seed — initials only.
Projection
17.6EstimateBible columns. Attempts, snaps, air yards, and coverage ranks stay PENDING when the seed has no number.
Joe Burrow
CIN · vs TB
Pass Yards 276.0 · Fantasy 21.8 · Matchup 5.9 · ESTIMATE
Trevor Lawrence
JAX · vs CLE
Pass Yards 205.0 · Fantasy 14.8 · Matchup 4.4 · ESTIMATE
Cooper Rush
ATL · @ PIT
Pass Yards 188.0 · Fantasy 8.2 · Matchup 4.0 · ESTIMATE
Lamar Jackson
BAL · @ IND
Rush TD % 38.0% · Fantasy 21.1 · Matchup 5.9 · ESTIMATE
Josh Allen
BUF · @ HOU
Rush TD % 36.0% · Fantasy 22.4 · Matchup 5.3 · ESTIMATE
| # | QB | Opponent | Attempts | Completions | Pass Yards | Pass TD | INT Probability | Rush Yards | Rush TD % | Fantasy | Matchup | OL Grade | Weather | Health | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Burrow CIN | vs TB | PENDING | PENDING | 276.0 | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | 21.8 | 5.9 · ESTIMATE | PENDING | UNKNOWN | No Known Limitation | Confidence B |
| 2 | Trevor Lawrence JAX | vs CLE | PENDING | PENDING | 205.0 | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | 14.8 | 4.4 · ESTIMATE | PENDING | SIGNIFICANT | No Known Limitation | Confidence B- |
| 3 | Cooper Rush ATL | @ PIT | PENDING | PENDING | 188.0 | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | 8.2 | 4.0 · ESTIMATE | PENDING | UNKNOWN | No Known Limitation | Confidence B- |
| 4 | Lamar Jackson BAL | @ IND | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | 38.0% | 21.1 | 5.9 · ESTIMATE | PENDING | DOME | No Known Limitation | Confidence B- |
| 5 | Josh Allen BUF | @ HOU | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | PENDING | 36.0% | 22.4 | 5.3 · ESTIMATE | PENDING | DOME | No Known Limitation | Confidence B- |
Pass Yds under · JAX · CLE @ JAX
U 219.5
Unknown · ESTIMATE
Lowest-tier scoring environment besides NYJ@TEN.
DraftKings price not available.
Pass Yds under · ATL · ATL @ PIT
U 199.5
Unknown · ESTIMATE
Tua and Penix both OUT. Rush is the starter.
DraftKings price not available.
Pass Yds over · CIN · TB @ CIN
O 269.5
Consensus · CONSENSUS
Game total 50.5 is the Sunday ceiling (DK via ESPN).
DraftKings price not available.
Rush TD over · BAL · BAL @ IND
O 0.5
Unknown · ESTIMATE
Designed QB run history is the thesis, not this week's verified tape.
DraftKings price not available.
Rush TD over · BUF · BUF @ HOU
O 0.5
Unknown · ESTIMATE
QB rush TD profile independent of passing yards.
DraftKings price not available.
Pass Yds under · CIN · TB @ CIN
U 269.5
Consensus · CONSENSUS
Listed so the board is two-sided.
DraftKings price not available.
| Why | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence JAX | Pass Yds U | Unknown | 219.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 205.0Estimate | Edge +14.5 yd | 64.3% | EV +22.8% | Confidence B- | CLE @ JAX | No Known Limitation | Significant weather | Move unknown | |
| Cooper Rush ATL | Pass Yds U | Unknown | 199.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 188.0Estimate | Edge +11.5 yd | 62.6% | EV +19.4% | Confidence B- | ATL @ PIT | No Known Limitation | Weather unknown | Move unknown | |
| Joe Burrow CIN | Pass Yds O | Consensus | 269.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 276.0Estimate | Edge +6.5 yd | 55.3% | EV +5.6% | Confidence B | TB @ CIN | No Known Limitation | Weather unknown | Move unknown | |
| Lamar Jackson BAL | Rush TD O | Unknown | 0.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 0.4Estimate | Edge −12.0% | 38.0% | EV −27.5% | Confidence B- | BAL @ IND | No Known Limitation | Indoor | Move unknown | |
| Josh Allen BUF | Rush TD O | Unknown | 0.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 0.4Estimate | Edge −14.0% | 36.0% | EV −31.3% | Confidence B- | BUF @ HOU | No Known Limitation | Indoor | Move unknown | |
| Joe Burrow CIN | Pass Yds U | Consensus | 269.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 276.0Estimate | Edge −6.5 yd | 44.7% | EV −14.7% | Confidence B | TB @ CIN | No Known Limitation | Weather unknown | Move unknown |