Game environment
49
EstimateNot live — do not bet from this page.
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Sunday HQ
Week 1 · Sun 12:00 PM ET
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1:00 PM ET · FOX · Acrisure Stadium
Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers
Not live. Research layout stays up. Do not bet from this page.
Spread
PIT -3.5
Total
42.5
ATL implied
19.5
PIT implied
23.0
0–100 ESTIMATE from posted total + weather + QB room. Not a trained engine.
Game environment
49
EstimatePassing environment
27
EstimateRushing environment
53
EstimateTD environment
89
EstimateP(PIT win) 61% from DK home spread -3.5. Total 42.5. Not a trained win model.
ESTIMATE · spread logistic. Not a cover model.
PIT P(win)
61.2%
ATL P(win)
38.8%
P(blowout)
16.8%
PIT favorite: fewer trash-time attempts unless the game stays one-score.
ATL dog: negative script → more dropbacks, worse rushing efficiency.
PIT favorite: positive script supports designed rush + closer carries. PIT volume lean.
ATL dog: designed rush tax. Pass-down RB is the more honest volume path.
No positive flags stored.
QB room downgrade
Atlanta starters OUT. Rush starts. Do not chase ATL pass.
Tua Tagovailoa OUT — Cooper Rush starts
Atlanta's named starter was added to the injury report after Thursday practice and is ruled out. Michael Penix Jr. is also out, so Cooper Rush starts at Pittsburgh.
Michael Penix Jr. OUT
Unavailable Week 1 while recovering from a knee injury. Does not replace Tua.
Outdoor Pittsburgh — no flagged limitation in seed
QB downgrade is the environment story, not weather.
ALL / QB / RB / WR / TE. Usage and tails that are missing stay DATA UNAVAILABLE.
| Player | Usage | Yards | Rec | TD % | Fantasy | Top prop | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL QB | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL QB | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
| Cooper Rush ATL QB | LOW | U 199.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 8.2 | Pass Yds U | B- |
| Aaron Rodgers PIT QB | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
| Drake London ATL WR | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 12.8 | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
| Bijan Robinson ATL RB | HIGH | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 52% | 17.5 | Anytime TD O | B- |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. ATL TE | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 7.6 | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
Not live. Seed ranks shown as research stubs — not tickets.
NO PLAYS MEET FILTERS
Pass Yds under
U 199.5
Confidence B-Not live
Anytime TD over
O 0.5
Confidence B-Not live
Derived from spread + total. Not a listed DK team-total ticket.
Balanced · INDEPENDENT · Not live
Opening vs current from the catalog. Missing player-prop tape stays unlabeled.
SPREAD -3.5 → -3.5
PIT -3.5 at capture. QB downgrade is news, not a captured spread steam.