Game environment
44
EstimateSunday HQ
Week 1 · Sun 12:00 PM ET
Not live — do not bet from this page.
Live prices are not connected. Seed parlays and props are hidden. Add ODDS_API_KEY in Vercel, then run the odds refresh.
4:25 PM ET · FOX · Allegiant Stadium
Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders
Not live. Research layout stays up. Do not bet from this page.
Spread
LV -3.5
Total
41.5
MIA implied
19.0
LV implied
22.5
0–100 ESTIMATE from posted total + weather + QB room. Not a trained engine.
Game environment
44
EstimatePassing environment
50
EstimateRushing environment
53
EstimateTD environment
86
EstimateP(LV win) 61% from DK home spread -3.5. Total 41.5. Not a trained win model.
ESTIMATE · spread logistic. Not a cover model.
LV P(win)
61.2%
MIA P(win)
38.8%
P(blowout)
16.8%
LV favorite: fewer trash-time attempts unless the game stays one-score.
MIA dog: negative script → more dropbacks, worse rushing efficiency.
LV favorite: positive script supports designed rush + closer carries. LV volume lean.
MIA dog: designed rush tax. Pass-down RB is the more honest volume path.
Indoor / roof
Weather is not the limiter.
Brock Bowers OUT — Mayer inherits TE usage
Meniscus surgery Wednesday. Misses Week 1 and likely more. Michael Mayer is the on-roster TE beneficiary; Juwan Johnson is a separate Saints stream, not a Raiders replacement.
Indoor — Allegiant Stadium
Dome. Bowers absence is the environment story, not weather.
ALL / QB / RB / WR / TE. Usage and tails that are missing stay DATA UNAVAILABLE.
| Player | Usage | Yards | Rec | TD % | Fantasy | Top prop | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty LV RB | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
| Michael Mayer LV TE | MED | O 39.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 28% | 9.4 | Rec Yds O | B |
| Brock Bowers LV TE | PENDING | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | NO SEEDED PROP | PASS |
Not live. Seed ranks shown as research stubs — not tickets.
Rec Yds over
O 39.5
Confidence BNot live
NO PLAYS MEET FILTERS
Anytime TD over
O 0.5
Confidence B-Not live
Derived from spread + total. Not a listed DK team-total ticket.
Aggressive · UNKNOWN · Not live
Opening vs current from the catalog. Missing player-prop tape stays unlabeled.
PROP → 39.5
Mayer 39.5 consensus after Bowers OUT. Not a verified DK player-prop tape.