Game environment
38
EstimateSunday HQ
Week 1 · Sun 12:00 PM ET
Not live — do not bet from this page.
Live prices are not connected. Seed parlays and props are hidden. Add ODDS_API_KEY in Vercel, then run the odds refresh.
1:00 PM ET · CBS · EverBank Stadium
Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars
Not live. Research layout stays up. Do not bet from this page.
Spread
JAX -8.5
Total
40.5
CLE implied
16.0
JAX implied
24.5
0–100 ESTIMATE from posted total + weather + QB room. Not a trained engine.
Game environment
38
EstimatePassing environment
20
EstimateRushing environment
51
EstimateTD environment
84
EstimateP(JAX win) 75% from DK home spread -8.5. Total 40.5. Not a trained win model.
ESTIMATE · spread logistic. Not a cover model.
JAX P(win)
75.1%
CLE P(win)
24.9%
P(blowout)
29.3%
JAX favorite: fewer trash-time attempts unless the game stays one-score.
CLE dog: negative script → more dropbacks, worse rushing efficiency.
JAX favorite: positive script supports designed rush + closer carries. JAX volume lean.
CLE dog: designed rush tax. Pass-down RB is the more honest volume path.
No positive flags stored.
Material weather
Outdoor EverBank. Heat + storm timing can cap passing volume, increase short-area rushing, and create delay risk. Treat CLE/JAX passing overs as weather-taxed until a verified hourly forecast is wired (Phase 2 live ingest PENDING).
Significant heat / storm risk — Jacksonville
Outdoor EverBank. Heat + storm timing can cap passing volume, increase short-area rushing, and create delay risk. Treat CLE/JAX passing overs as weather-taxed until a verified hourly forecast is wired (Phase 2 live ingest PENDING).
ALL / QB / RB / WR / TE. Usage and tails that are missing stay DATA UNAVAILABLE.
| Player | Usage | Yards | Rec | TD % | Fantasy | Top prop | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence JAX QB | MED | U 219.5 | DATA UNAVAILABLE | DATA UNAVAILABLE | 14.8 | Pass Yds U | B- |
Not live. Seed ranks shown as research stubs — not tickets.
NO PLAYS MEET FILTERS
Pass Yds under
U 219.5
Confidence B-Not live
NO PLAYS MEET FILTERS
Derived from spread + total. Not a listed DK team-total ticket.
Balanced · INDEPENDENT · Not live
Conservative · INDEPENDENT · Not live
Opening vs current from the catalog. Missing player-prop tape stays unlabeled.
GAME TOTAL 40.5 → 40.5
Capped environment. Weather flag is the research, not a steam alert.